Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices

(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling rates and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the cost of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce eco-friendly diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted considering that the start of the year, it added.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

"Renewable products' prices have been adversely affected by a considerable decrease in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not decreased and eco-friendly item market price premiums have stayed weak," the business included.

Industry executives and experts have said rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski stated.

Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki